Currently, the Republican party holds a slight edge in the Senate.
That edge, however, is now gone concerning Trump and McConnell pushing through a Supreme Court nominee before the election.
So far, two GOP Senators have stated they will NOT vote for a nominee this close to an election, and it could be many, many more.
Coming Back to Haunt Them
First up was Senator Murkowski (R-AK), who stated it would be a “double standard” to approve a SCOTUS nominee this close to the election after Obama was denied his nominee nine months before the 2020 election.
Last month, Republican Sen. Lisa Murkowski of Alaska said she would not support confirming a new Supreme Court justice before the election or in a lame-duck session.
— Mike Baker (@ByMikeBaker) September 19, 2020
Senator Collins (R-ME) has also gone on the record that she would not vote in favor of the nominee at this time of the election season…
News: @SenatorCollins told me earlier this month in Maine that she would not seat a Supreme Court justice in October.
“I think that’s too close, I really do,” she said.
She said she’d also oppose seating a justice in the lame duck if there’s a change in presidents.
— Jonathan Martin (@jmartNYT) September 19, 2020
While he has not yet made an announcement, it is a fairly safe bet that Senator Romney (R-UT) would also not approve a SCOTUS nominee right now.
He has opposed Trump at every turn, so why would he stop now?
More Could Follow
When Obama was denied, a slew of Republican senators vowed to never vote for a court nominee post-primary season.
For instance, Senator Cornyn (R-TX) had stated, “Confirming a new Supreme Court Justice during a presidential election year for a vacancy arising that same year is not common in our nation’s history; the last time it happened was in 1932.
“And it has been almost 130 years since a presidential election year nominee was confirmed for a vacancy arising the same year under divided government as we have today.”
Senator Graham (R-S.C.) made a similar statement…
Sen. Lindsey Graham justifies his treatment of Merrick Garland: "If an opening comes in the last year of President Trump's term, and the primary process has started, we'll wait to the next election" pic.twitter.com/E8N7a8IlIG
— Yahoo News (@YahooNews) October 3, 2018
The list goes on and on.
Now, since politicians rarely do what they say, it does not necessarily mean Graham or Cornyn would vote no, but Collins, Murkowski, and Romney means only one more would be needed to put the vote down.
Trump may nominate someone soon, but I would seriously doubt if that individual would be approved if McConnell does as planned and puts that name on the floor for a vote.
Source: Daily Wire